Jalen Williams Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/8/2024

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Jalen Williams

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Williams

G-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Assists

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Miami Heat · Mar 8, 2024

Updated Mar 9, 2024 1:11 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Williams Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Williams has compiled 5.6 assists per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 1.4 higher than he's compiled in all games this year at home.
Among all players in the NBA, Jalen Williams rates in the 79th percentile for playing time, logging a massive 30.8 minutes per game while playing at home this year.
The Thunder have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.
Jalen Williams will enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home city usually boosts player production for all stats.

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Jalen Williams registers in the 86th percentile for personal fouls, averaging a whopping 2.5 fouls per game with the home court advantage this year.
The Miami Heat have played at the least up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 25 games on the road, which ought to reduce plays for the Oklahoma City Thunder.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and create more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Oklahoma City Thunder rank 1stworst in in the NBA as the home team with just 8.5 offensive boards per game this year.

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