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Jalen Williams

Jalen Williams Assists
Player Prop - 12/16/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder

Jalen Williams Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+135/-175).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -160 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -175.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jalen Williams has averaged 3.2 assists per game this year on the road, placing him among the NBA's leaders in this category in recent days: 80th percentile.

Out of all players in the NBA, Jalen Williams ranks in the 84th percentile for playing time, registering an enormous 32.0 minutes per game this year.

The Thunder have played at the 3rd-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jalen Williams has been called for 2.7 personal fouls per game when playing on the road this year, ranking in the 83rd percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.

The Thunder will likely experience a decrease in opportunities today from competing against the 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play home team in the NBA this year (the Nuggets).

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to further chances for scoring and assists, but the Oklahoma City Thunder rank 2ndworst in in the NBA with a mere 8.5 offensive boards per game this year.

The Denver Nuggets have allowed the 5th-most offensive boards per game (13.2) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jalen Williams is expected to suffer a reduction in output for all stats in light of playing on the visting team in this matchup.

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