Jalen Suggs Points - Player Prop Bet 11/18/2024

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Jalen Suggs

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Suggs

G · Orlando Magic

Points

Phoenix Suns vs Orlando Magic · Nov 18, 2024

Updated Nov 19, 2024 2:09 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Suggs Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-124/+102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -124.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, Jalen Suggs slots into the 84th percentile for shot attempts from downtown when playing on the road, putting up 6.1 per game this year.
Over the last 5 games, the opposition's starting PGs have logged 29.2 points per game (highest in the league) vs. the Phoenix Suns, labeling this as a positive matchup for offensive efficiency.
The Orlando Magic have played at the 4th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 14 games.
The Magic have been the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Jalen Suggs has made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 8.8% more than he's converted over the course of the year.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Jalen Suggs slots into the 76th percentile for personal fouls, posting an enormous 2.6 fouls per game this year.
The Orlando Magic rank as the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games.
The Orlando Magic are expected to suffer a reduction in plays in this contest from facing the 5th-most lethargic tempo team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Suns).
Jalen Suggs will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road tends to decrease player performance in all stat categories.

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