Jalen Suggs Points - Player Prop Bet 3/15/2024

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Jalen Suggs

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Suggs

G · Orlando Magic

Points

Toronto Raptors vs Orlando Magic · Mar 15, 2024

Updated Mar 15, 2024 11:38 PM UTC

Analysis

Jalen Suggs Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-155/+112).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -127 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ +112.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Suggs has sunk 54.8% of his field goals over the last 10 games, 9.6% higher than he's made in all games this year.
Jalen Suggs has converted 2.8 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 0.7 higher than he's made from downtown overall this year.
The matchup vs. Toronto is a good one for field goal attempts; when the Raptors have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting SGs have averaged the most field goal attempts per game in the league this year (15.6).
The Raptors have played at the fastest tempo in the league over the last 10 games, which should lead to increased opportunities for the Orlando Magic.
When it comes to getting to the foul line, the Magic's fantastic 25.1 foul shots per game places 2nd-best in the NBA this year.

Favors Under

Jalen Suggs has averaged 2.7 personal fouls per game when playing on the road this year, ranking him in the 89th percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled.
The Orlando Magic rank as the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 15 games away from home.
The Magic have played at the least up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games away from home.
Over the last 10 games, opposing starting SGs have attempted 1.2 foul shots per game (lowest in the league) vs. the Raptors, struggling to get to the free-throw line.
Jalen Suggs will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court tends to decrease stat production for all stats.

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