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Jalen Suggs

Jalen Suggs Points
Player Prop - 2/6/2024

Miami Heat vs Orlando Magic

Jalen Suggs Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Out of all players in the NBA, Jalen Suggs measures in the 83rd percentile for three-pointers hit, putting up 2.0 per game this year.

Jalen Suggs has played 31.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.3 higher than he's played over the course of the season.

This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have tallied 6.3 3-point attempts per game (30th-highest in the league) vs. the Heat, designating this as a strong matchup.

Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Magic grade out 4thbest in in the NBA with 11.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games.

This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing teams have collected 9.1 offensive boards per game (2nd-fewest in the NBA) against the Heat (losing possessions that could otherwise result in added opportunities for offense).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jalen Suggs has tallied 2.8 personal fouls per game when playing away from home this year, placing him in the 88th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.

The Orlando Magic rank as the 4th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games.

The Magic have played at the least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 15 games.

The Orlando Magic are expected to suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this contest from sharing the court with the 2nd-most lethargic tempo team in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Heat).

Jalen Suggs will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling usually decreases stat production in all stat categories.

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