Jalen Suggs Points - Player Prop Bet 1/31/2024

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Jalen Suggs

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Suggs

G · Orlando Magic

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs Orlando Magic · Jan 31, 2024

Updated Feb 1, 2024 3:28 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Suggs Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Suggs has successfully made 2.6 shots from downtown per game over the last 15 games, 0.6 more than he's sunk over the course of the year.
This year, opposing starting SGs have averaged 37.5% on three-pointers (23rd-best in the NBA) against the San Antonio Spurs, making this a favorable matchup.
The Magic will likely see a rise in plays in this game from sharing the court with the 4th-most up-tempo pace team in the league this year (the San Antonio Spurs).
The Orlando Magic rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Jalen Suggs has sunk 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 23.2% higher than he's sunk over the course of the season.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Jalen Suggs measures in the 91st percentile for personal fouls, putting up a massive 2.8 fouls per game while on the road this year.
The Magic rank as the 3rd-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games.
The least up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Magic.
The Spurs have allowed the 2nd-most offensive boards per game (12.8) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Jalen Suggs ought to experience a decrease in productivity across the board in light of playing away from home in this contest.

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