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Jalen Suggs Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-104/-129).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -132 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -104.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Jalen Suggs has made 3.0 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.0 more than he's made from beyond the arc overall this season without the home court advantage.The matchup vs. Atlanta is a strong one for three-point attempts; when the Hawks are playing at home, opposing starting PGs have averaged the 30th-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (7.6).The Atlanta Hawks have played at the most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Magic.As a team, the Magic have been terrific at drawing fouls recently: best in the NBA over the last 20 games as the road team, averaging 27.1 free throws per game.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Out of all players in the NBA, Jalen Suggs comes in at the 92nd percentile for personal fouls, posting a monstrous 2.9 fouls per game without the home court advantage this year.The Orlando Magic have played at the most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.The Magic check in as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league when playing away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).This year, opposing clubs have grabbed 11.4 offensive rebounds per game (5th-most in the league) vs. the Hawks (retaining possessions that can result in extra opportunities for offense).Jalen Suggs has successfully made 61.1% of his foul shot attempts over the last 15 games, 14.9% lower than he's made over the course of the year.
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