Jalen Suggs Points - Player Prop Bet 1/15/2024

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Jalen Suggs

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Suggs

G · Orlando Magic

Points

New York Knicks vs Orlando Magic · Jan 15, 2024

Updated Jan 15, 2024 7:53 PM EST

Analysis

Jalen Suggs Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-105/-125).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Suggs has attempted 12.4 shots from the field per game over the last 10 games, 2.2 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year.
Jalen Suggs has successfully made 3.4 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.3 higher than he's made from three over the course of the season on the road.
This year when they are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting SGs have logged 21.5 points per game (30th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Knicks, resulting in a strong matchup for offensive productivity.
The 8th-quickest pace visiting team in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Orlando Magic.
The Knicks have given up the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (10.2) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Jalen Suggs has averaged 2.9 personal fouls per game away from his home court this year, putting him in the 92nd percentile -- among the league's most-whistled.
The Knicks have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the league with the home court advantage this year, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Orlando Magic.
The Magic check in as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while playing away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).
Jalen Suggs figures to suffer a drop-off in efficiency in all facets of the game considering being on the road in this game.

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