Jalen Suggs Points - Player Prop Bet 1/2/2024

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Suggs

G · Orlando Magic

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Orlando Magic · Jan 2, 2024

Updated Jan 3, 2024 3:07 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Suggs Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Suggs has attempted 6.2 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 more than he's attempted in all games this year.
The 7th-quickest tempo road offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Orlando Magic.
The Orlando Magic will likely see a rise in plays today from squaring off against the 6th-most up-tempo tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 17 games (the Warriors).
As a team, the Orlando Magic have been terrific at getting to the foul line: best in the league this year, drawing 27.0 foul shot attempts per game.
Over the last 5 games, opposing starting SGs have attempted 3.3 foul shots per game (25th-most in the NBA) against the Golden State Warriors, making it fairly effortless to get to the free-throw line.

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Jalen Suggs comes in at the 25th percentile for scoring efficiency when playing on the road with a an unimpressive 39.4% rate this year.
Jalen Suggs has tallied 2.9 personal fouls per game while playing on the road this year, ranking him in the 89th percentile -- among the league's most-whistled.
This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have averaged 38.4% on shots from the field (14th-lowest in the NBA) against the Warriors, labeling this as a hard matchup.
The Orlando Magic have been the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA as the road team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).
Over the last 10 games when they are on the road, opposing clubs have grabbed 12.1 offensive rebounds per game (5th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Golden State Warriors (retaining possessions that can lead to further opportunities for offense).