Jalen Suggs Points - Player Prop Bet 12/26/2023

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Jalen Suggs

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Suggs

G · Orlando Magic

Points

Washington Wizards vs Orlando Magic · Dec 26, 2023

Updated Dec 27, 2023 12:10 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Suggs Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-118/-104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Orlando Magic have played at the 10th-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 25 games.
The Washington Wizards have played at the speediest tempo in the league this year, which ought to boost opportunities for the Magic.
Jalen Suggs has made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 14.2% higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this year.
In terms of getting to the charity stripe, the Orlando Magic's impressive 28.9 foul shot attempts per game on the road places best in the NBA this year.

Favors Under

Jalen Suggs has tallied 2.7 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-whistled players in the NBA (87th percentile).
The matchup against Washington is a hard one; when the Washington Wizards are playing at home, they have given up the 14th-least points per game in the league to opposing starting SGs this year (10.9).
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Orlando Magic grade out 6thworst in in the NBA away from home with a mere 9.9 offensive boards per game this year.
On their home court, the Wizards have given up the most offensive boards per game (13.9) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).
Over the last 20 games, opposing starting SGs have attempted 2.2 free throws per game (11th-lowest in the league) vs. the Wizards, struggling to draw fouls.

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