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Jalen Suggs

Jalen Suggs Points
Player Prop - 12/20/2023

Orlando Magic vs Miami Heat

Jalen Suggs Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-145/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ +110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This year, the opposition's starting SGs have averaged 6.3 three attempts per game (30th-most in the NBA) against the Miami Heat, identifying this as a strong matchup.

The 10th-most up-tempo pace-of-play home offense in the league this year has been the Orlando Magic.

The Orlando Magic check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

The Miami Heat have given up the least offensive boards per game (8.2) in the league to their opposition over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jalen Suggs has made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 14.2% more than he's made in all games this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jalen Suggs has been called for 2.8 personal fouls per game while on his home court this year, putting him in the 86th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.

The Orlando Magic have been the least aggressive offense in the league at home this year when it comes to shot attempts from beyond the arc.

The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo tempo in the league away from their home court this year, which should reduce possessions for the Magic.

Over the last 5 games when they are on their home court, the other team's starting SGs have attempted 1.0 free throws per game (11th-lowest in the NBA) against the Heat, struggling to get to the charity stripe.

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