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Jalen Suggs

Jalen Suggs Points
Player Prop - 4/2/2023

Orlando Magic vs Detroit Pistons

Jalen Suggs Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+104/-128).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -128.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jalen Suggs has successfully made 50.7% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 5 games at home, 19.9% more than he's converted from beyond the arc over the course of the season at home.

The Orlando Magic have been the 4th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 5 games while at home.

The Orlando Magic have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 20 games.

Jalen Suggs has sunk 91.7% of his free throws over the last 5 games at home, 16.9% higher than he's sunk over the course of the year with the home court advantage.

Jalen Suggs will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home stadium tends to increases stat production in all facets of the game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jalen Suggs has been called for 2.3 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-whistled players in the league (76th percentile).

The Pistons have played at the 7th-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 15 games, which ought to reduce possessions for the Magic.

The Orlando Magic rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

The Pistons have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (13.7) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).

This matchup may be a favorable one for getting to the free throw line; their opposition have attempted a monstrous 27.2 free throws per game over the last 25 games (most in the league).

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