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Jalen Suggs

Jalen Suggs Points
Player Prop - 2/25/2023

Orlando Magic vs Indiana Pacers

Jalen Suggs Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (+100/-122).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The matchup vs. the Pacers is a hard one for attempts from downtown; the other team have averaged the 4th-least 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (32.3).

The Orlando Magic have played at the 5th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games.

The Pacers have played at the 4th-speediest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which should increase opportunities for the Magic.

Jalen Suggs has converted 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 26.5% more than he's sunk in all games this year.

Jalen Suggs will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home city generally boosts player performance across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jalen Suggs has converted 20.3% of his 3-point attempts this year, ranking in the 9th percentile among all players in the NBA.

Jalen Suggs has averaged 3.0 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most foul-prone players in the NBA (95th percentile).

The Orlando Magic check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

Without the home court advantage, the Pacers have given up the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.5) in the league to their opposition over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

This matchup is a positive one for drawing fouls; when the Pacers are away from home, their opposition have attempted a whopping 23.1 free throws per game this year (10th-most in the NBA).

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