Jalen Suggs Assists - Player Prop Bet 2/27/2024

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Jalen Suggs

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Suggs

G · Orlando Magic

Assists

Orlando Magic vs Brooklyn Nets · Feb 27, 2024

Updated Feb 28, 2024 1:35 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Suggs Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+110/-140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Suggs has totaled 3.8 assists per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 more than he's totaled in all games this year.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and result in extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Magic rank 8thbest in in the NBA while at home with 11.7 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games.
The Brooklyn Nets have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (7.6) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Jalen Suggs figures to see a spike in output for all stats considering controlling the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

Jalen Suggs has averaged 2.8 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most most-whistled players in the league (92nd percentile).
The least up-tempo pace-of-play home offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Orlando Magic.
The Brooklyn Nets have played at the 6th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games, which should lead to decreased plays for the Magic.

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