Jalen Suggs Assists - Player Prop Bet 4/4/2023

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Jalen Suggs

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Suggs

G · Orlando Magic

Assists

Orlando Magic vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Apr 4, 2023

Updated Apr 4, 2023 2:31 PM EST

Analysis

Jalen Suggs Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+155/-190).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Suggs has posted 3.4 assists per game on his home court this year, putting him in the 81st percentile -- among the NBA's best by this metric.
The Orlando Magic have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games.
While playing on the road, the Cavaliers have allowed the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Jalen Suggs will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium generally increases stat production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

Jalen Suggs has accumulated 2.4 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the highest-fouling players in the league (78th percentile).
The Cavaliers have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the league this year, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Magic.
The Orlando Magic rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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