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Jalen Smith

Jalen Smith Points
Player Prop - 1/18/2024

Sacramento Kings vs Indiana Pacers

 
 
 
Jalen Smith Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -135.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Out of all players in the league, Jalen Smith comes in at the 94th percentile for scoring proficiency when playing on the road with a a stellar 64.0% rate this year.
  • Jalen Smith has sunk a terrific 54.1% of his shots from behind the three-point arc this season, a significant increase from his 25.4 rate last season.
  • Jalen Smith has tallied 23.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.5 higher than he's tallied overall this season.
  • The Pacers rank as the highest scoring offense in the league this year.
  • This year, opposing starting PFs have averaged 52.6% on field goal attempts (25th-highest in the league) against the Sacramento Kings, labeling this as a strong matchup.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and bring about extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Pacers grade out 8thworst in in the league with a mere 10.2 offensive boards per game this year.
  • Over the last 20 games, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 2.4 foul shots per game (15th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Sacramento Kings, facing an uphill battle to get to the charity stripe.
  • Jalen Smith is expected to see a decline in production across the board in light of playing away from home in this game.

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