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Jalen Smith

Jalen Smith Points
Player Prop - 1/14/2024

Denver Nuggets vs Indiana Pacers

Jalen Smith Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+110/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ +105 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -145.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jalen Smith has converted a whopping 67.6% of his field goal attempts this year, a big improvement over his 45.9 rate last year.

Relative to last season's 25.4% clip, Jalen Smith's three-point efficiency has increased this season to 57.2%.

Jalen Smith has been on the court for 22.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.5 more than he's been on the court for over the course of the season.

When it comes to offense, the Indiana Pacers's stellar 126.1 points per game settles in as the highest in the league this year.

The Pacers have played at the fastest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This year, opposing starting PFs have totaled 3.7 3-point attempts per game (12th-fewest in the league) vs. the Nuggets, designating this as a difficult matchup.

The Indiana Pacers are expected to experience a decrease in opportunities in this contest from sharing the court with the 2nd-least up-tempo tempo team in the NBA this year (the Nuggets).

The Indiana Pacers have been the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Over the last 20 games, their opposition has collected 11.1 offensive boards per game (8th-most in the NBA) against the Nuggets (continuing possessions that can result in added opportunities for offense).

The matchup vs. the Denver Nuggets is a tough one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting PFs have attempted a lowly 2.6 foul shots per game this year (15th-least in the NBA).

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