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Jalen Smith

Jalen Smith Points
Player Prop - 1/8/2024

Indiana Pacers vs Boston Celtics

Jalen Smith Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-150/+120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ +120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jalen Smith has successfully made 58.7% of his shots from downtown this year, ranking him in the 99th percentile among all players in the NBA.

Jalen Smith has attempted 3.8 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 more than he's attempted in all games this season.

As it relates to scoring, the Indiana Pacers's stellar 126.3 points per game comes in as the strongest in the NBA this year.

The fastest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 25 games has been the Pacers.

The Pacers will likely see a rise in opportunities in this game from competing against the 9th-most up-tempo tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Celtics).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Among all players in the NBA, Jalen Smith rates in the 79th percentile for personal fouls, totaling a massive 2.4 fouls per game this year.

The matchup against the Boston Celtics is a hard one; they have allowed the 14th-least points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting PFs this year (14.5).

Offensive rebounds continue possession and create additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Indiana Pacers grade out 5thworst in in the NBA when playing at home with only 9.3 offensive boards per game this year.

The Boston Celtics have allowed the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.5) in the NBA to the other team over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).

The matchup vs. Boston is a difficult one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted just 3.1 free throws per game this year when the Boston Celtics are the visiting squad (8th-least in the NBA).

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