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Jalen Smith

Jalen Smith Points
Player Prop - 1/5/2024

Indiana Pacers vs Atlanta Hawks

Jalen Smith Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jalen Smith has attempted 3.6 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 more than he's attempted in all games this season.

The Indiana Pacers have been the highest scoring offense in the league this year.

The matchup against Atlanta is a favorable one; when the Hawks are the visiting team, they have allowed the 28th-most points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting PFs this year (21.1).

The Indiana Pacers have played at the fastest tempo in the league over the last 25 games.

The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 5th-speediest tempo in the league this year, which ought to increase possessions for the Indiana Pacers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jalen Smith has averaged 2.4 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most most-whistled players in the league (79th percentile).

The Indiana Pacers check in as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

Over the last 25 games, their opposition has grabbed 11.6 offensive boards per game (3rd-most in the league) vs. the Atlanta Hawks (maintaining possessions that can lead to bonus chances for offense).

Jalen Smith has made a lowly 67.2% of his foul shots this year, quite a bit less than his 74.8 rate last year.

The number of fouls drawn by opposing starting PFs vs. Jalen Johnson has been quite low this year (3.3 free throws per game: 21st percentile).

More Jalen Smith Player Props

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