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Jalen Smith

Jalen Smith Points
Player Prop - 1/1/2024

Milwaukee Bucks vs Indiana Pacers

 
 
 
Jalen Smith Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Among all players in the NBA, Jalen Smith lands in the 99th percentile for field goal effectiveness with a an outstanding 74.3% rate this year.
  • Jalen Smith has converted 58.3% of his three-point shots when playing on the road this year, ranking in the 98th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
  • The Pacers check in as the highest scoring offense in the league this year.
  • This year, the opposition's starting PFs have totaled 1.8 threes per game (24th-most in the league) against the Bucks, identifying this as a strong matchup.
  • The Pacers have played at the fastest pace in the league over the last 25 games.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Jalen Smith has averaged 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 higher than he's averaged overall this season.
  • Offensive rebounds maintain possession and produce extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Indiana Pacers rank 6thworst in in the league with only 8.4 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
  • Over the last 15 games when they are away from home, their opposition has come down with 12.8 offensive rebounds per game (most in the league) against the Milwaukee Bucks (preserving possessions that can generate further opportunities for offense).
  • Over the last 25 games, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 2.6 free throws per game (13th-fewest in the league) against the Bucks, facing an uphill battle to get to the charity stripe.
  • Jalen Smith will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing while traveling tends to reduce player performance in all facets of the game.

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