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Jalen Smith

Jalen Smith Points
Player Prop - 12/28/2023

Chicago Bulls vs Indiana Pacers

Jalen Smith Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-122/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ +104 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jalen Smith has sunk 74.8% of his shots from the field while playing away from home this year, ranking him in the 98th percentile among all players in the NBA.

Jalen Smith has converted 1.8 threes per game over the last 5 games, 0.6 higher than he's sunk over the course of the season.

The Pacers have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games.

Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Pacers grade out 10thbest in in the NBA as the road team with 12.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

The matchup vs. the Chicago Bulls may be a favorable one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting PFs have attempted a massive 5.9 free throws per game over the last 5 games (27th-most in the NBA).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup against the Bulls is a challenging one for field goal attempts; opposing starting PFs have totaled the 13th-least field goal attempts per game in the NBA this year (11.5).

The Bulls have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should reduce opportunities for the Pacers.

Over the last 15 games when they are away from home, opposing squads have captured 11.7 offensive boards per game (5th-most in the league) against the Chicago Bulls (maintaining possessions that can create further opportunities for offense).

In regard to getting to the foul line, the Indiana Pacers's unimpressive 19.2 free throws per game when playing on the road ranks 3rd-worst in the league over the last 5 games.

Jalen Smith is expected to suffer a drop-off in output in all facets of the game considering playing on the visting team in this contest.

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