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Jalen Smith

Jalen Smith Points
Player Prop - 3/22/2023

Toronto Raptors vs Indiana Pacers

 
 
 
Jalen Smith Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+100/-122).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -122.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Jalen Smith has sunk 56.1% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games, 10.5% higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season.
  • The Indiana Pacers have played at the 7th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.
  • The Indiana Pacers rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games while on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • The Raptors have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (7.2) in the NBA to the other team over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • Jalen Smith has attempted 4.4 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 2.3 more than he's attempted in all games this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Indiana Pacers rank as the 6th-least efficient shooting team in the NBA this year.
  • This matchup is a positive one for three-pointers; opposing squads have put up the 5th-highest 3-point rate in the NBA over the last 20 games while on their home court (37.7%).
  • The Raptors have played at the 6th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league this year, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Pacers.
  • This matchup may be a good one for drawing fouls; when the Raptors have the home court advantage, the other team have attempted a whopping 24.7 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (10th-most in the league).
  • Jalen Smith will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city tends to worsens player performance in all facets of the game.

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