Jalen Pickett Points - Player Prop Bet 4/4/2025

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Jalen Pickett

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Pickett

G · Denver Nuggets

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets · Apr 4, 2025

Updated Apr 5, 2025 2:30 AM UTC

Analysis

Jalen Pickett Points Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Pickett has successfully made 1.6 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.8 more than he's converted from three over the course of the season without the home court advantage.
Out of all players in the NBA, Jalen Pickett lands in the 24th percentile for personal fouls, totaling just 1.0 fouls per game while playing on the road this year.
The 7th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the league this year has been the Nuggets.
The Denver Nuggets have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games while playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Jalen Pickett has successfully made a whopping 87.5% of his free throw attempts this season, significantly more than his 75.0 rate last season.

Favors Under

Jalen Pickett has played 12.6 minutes per game this year, putting him among the least-utilized plays in the league: 24th percentile.
The Denver Nuggets have been the least aggressive offense in the league this year when it comes to shot attempts from downtown.
The Warriors have played at the 9th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should decrease possessions for the Denver Nuggets.
Jalen Pickett will not hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city generally lowers player production for all stats.

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