Jalen Johnson Steals - Player Prop Bet 1/15/2024

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Jalen Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Johnson

F · Atlanta Hawks

Steals

Atlanta Hawks vs San Antonio Spurs · Jan 15, 2024

Updated Jan 15, 2024 8:37 PM EST

Analysis

Jalen Johnson Steals Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+148/-194).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +158 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +148.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Johnson has averaged 1.1 steals per game this year at home, placing him among the NBA's hottest by this standard over this stretch of games: 86th percentile.
Jalen Johnson has averaged 31.5 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 83rd percentile.
The 2nd-speediest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Atlanta Hawks.
The Spurs have played at the 2nd-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 15 games, which ought to increase plays for the Atlanta Hawks.
Jalen Johnson will possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home tends to increase stat production for all stats.

Favors Under

Jalen Johnson has been called for 2.5 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-whistled players in the NBA (81st percentile).

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