Jalen Johnson Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 12/6/2024

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Jalen Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Johnson

F · Atlanta Hawks

Rebounds

Atlanta Hawks vs Los Angeles Lakers · Dec 6, 2024

Updated Dec 7, 2024 12:29 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Johnson Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Johnson has averaged 8.2 defensive boards per game this year, putting him among the best players in the league by this standard: 99th percentile.
Out of all players in the NBA, Jalen Johnson ranks in the 97th percentile for playing time, totaling a whopping 36.4 minutes per game this year.
The Hawks have played at the quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games with the home court advantage.
The Hawks check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).
Jalen Johnson ought to see a spike in production in all facets of the game in light of holding the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to fewer plays for the Hawks.

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