Jalen Johnson Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 11/17/2024

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Jalen Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Johnson

F · Atlanta Hawks

Rebounds

Portland Trail Blazers vs Atlanta Hawks · Nov 17, 2024

Updated Nov 18, 2024 1:10 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Johnson Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+112/-150).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -139 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ +112.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Johnson has compiled 8.4 defensive rebounds per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the league by this metric: 99th percentile.
Jalen Johnson has been on the court for 36.5 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 95th percentile.
The 3rd-quickest pace team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Atlanta Hawks.
The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 6th-fastest pace in the NBA with the home court advantage this year, which ought to boost plays for the Hawks.
The Atlanta Hawks check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA without the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Jalen Johnson has committed 2.7 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most-whistled players in the league (81st percentile).
Jalen Johnson ought to see a decline in output across the board on account of playing away from home in this matchup.

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