Jalen Johnson Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 11/3/2024

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Jalen Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Johnson

F · Atlanta Hawks

Rebounds

New Orleans Pelicans vs Atlanta Hawks · Nov 3, 2024

Updated Nov 3, 2024 11:59 PM EST

Analysis

Jalen Johnson Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+112/-150).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -141 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ +112.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Johnson has posted 7.4 defensive boards per game while on the road since the start of last season, ranking him in the 97th percentile -- near the top of the league by this standard.
Among all players in the NBA, Jalen Johnson measures in the 88th percentile for playing time, putting up a colossal 33.1 minutes per game away from home since the start of last season.
The 3rd-most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Hawks.
The Atlanta Hawks are expected to see an increase in possessions today from competing against the 2nd-fastest pace-of-play home team in the NBA this year (the New Orleans Pelicans).
Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in more chances for scoring and assists, and the Hawks rank best in the NBA while on the road with 12.3 offensive boards per game since the start of last season.

Favors Under

Jalen Johnson is expected to see a decline in effectiveness across the board in light of playing away from home in this matchup.

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