Jalen Johnson Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 10/27/2024

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Jalen Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Johnson

F · Atlanta Hawks

Rebounds

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Atlanta Hawks · Oct 27, 2024

Updated Oct 28, 2024 1:09 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Johnson Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -106 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Johnson has averaged 7.2 defensive rebounds per game while on the road since the start of last season, ranking in the 97th percentile -- one of the best in the league by this metric.
Out of all players in the league, Jalen Johnson registers in the 90th percentile for playing time, posting a massive 33.9 minutes per game since the start of last season.
The Hawks have played at the 5th-quickest pace-of-play in the league since the start of last season.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 9th-speediest pace in the NBA since the start of last season, which ought to raise opportunities for the Atlanta Hawks.
Offensive rebounds save possession and generate further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Hawks grade out 3rd-best in in the league with 12.4 offensive boards per game since the start of last season.

Favors Under

Jalen Johnson has committed 2.4 personal fouls per game since the start of last season, putting him among the most foul-prone players in the NBA (84th percentile).
Jalen Johnson will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage usually decreases stat production across the board.

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