Jalen Johnson Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/18/2024

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Jalen Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Johnson

F · Atlanta Hawks

Rebounds

Los Angeles Lakers vs Atlanta Hawks · Mar 18, 2024

Updated Mar 19, 2024 2:31 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Johnson Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (+100/-122).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ +104 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Johnson has averaged 1.6 offensive rebounds per game away from his home court this year, putting him in the 88th percentile -- among the NBA's leaders by this metric.
Jalen Johnson has been on the court for 33.3 minutes per game while playing on the road this year, putting him in the 90th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.
The Lakers have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace in the league this year, which should raise plays for the Atlanta Hawks.
The Hawks check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Relative to last year's 1.6 clip, Jalen Johnson's personal fouls per game have surged this year to 2.5.
The 5th-least up-tempo tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Hawks.
Jalen Johnson will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city generally lowers player performance across the board.

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