Jalen Johnson Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/30/2024

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Jalen Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Johnson

F · Atlanta Hawks

Rebounds

Atlanta Hawks vs Los Angeles Lakers · Jan 30, 2024

Updated Jan 31, 2024 12:42 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Johnson Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-123/-111).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -103 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -111.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Johnson has averaged 7.2 defensive boards per game at home this year, ranking in the 97th percentile -- among the best in the NBA by this metric.
Jalen Johnson has been on the court for 37.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.5 higher than he's been on the court for in all games this year.
The 4th-speediest pace-of-play home team in the league this year has been the Atlanta Hawks.
The Hawks will likely get a boost in opportunities in this contest from facing the most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Lakers).
The Atlanta Hawks rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Jalen Johnson has accumulated 2.6 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-whistled players in the league (87th percentile).
Over the last 10 games, opposing teams have captured 11.1 offensive boards per game (7th-highest in the league) against the Los Angeles Lakers (continuing possessions that can produce bonus chances for offense).

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