Jalen Johnson Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/15/2024

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Jalen Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Johnson

F · Atlanta Hawks

Rebounds

Atlanta Hawks vs San Antonio Spurs · Jan 15, 2024

Updated Jan 15, 2024 8:32 PM EST

Analysis

Jalen Johnson Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-106/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -124 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Johnson has tallied a terrific 1.3 offensive boards per game this year, significantly higher than his 0.7 offensive boards per game last year.
Jalen Johnson has averaged 31.5 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 83rd percentile.
The 2nd-speediest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Atlanta Hawks.
The Spurs have played at the 2nd-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 15 games, which ought to increase plays for the Atlanta Hawks.
The Atlanta Hawks have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Jalen Johnson has been called for 2.5 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-whistled players in the NBA (81st percentile).

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