Jalen Johnson Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/12/2024

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Jalen Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Johnson

F · Atlanta Hawks

Rebounds

Atlanta Hawks vs Indiana Pacers · Jan 12, 2024

Updated Jan 13, 2024 12:34 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Johnson Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-141/+106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -129 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -141.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Johnson has posted a terrific 1.4 offensive boards per game this season, significantly higher than his 0.7 offensive boards per game last season.
Out of all players in the league, Jalen Johnson places in the 83rd percentile for playing time, compiling an enormous 31.3 minutes per game this year.
The speediest pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Hawks.
The Hawks will likely get a boost in plays today from competing against the most up-tempo pace-of-play road offense in the NBA this year (the Indiana Pacers).
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and bring about added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Hawks grade out 1stbest in in the league with 13.1 offensive boards per game this year.

Favors Under

Jalen Johnson has accumulated 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's accumulated in all games this year.
Over the last 15 games, the other team has come down with 11.9 offensive boards per game (2nd-most in the league) vs. the Indiana Pacers (lengthening possessions that can lead to additional chances for offense).

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