Jalen Johnson Points - Player Prop Bet 1/17/2026

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Jalen Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Johnson

F · Atlanta Hawks

Points

Atlanta Hawks vs Boston Celtics · Jan 17, 2026

Updated Jan 17, 2026 11:34 PM EST

Analysis

Jalen Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-105/-120).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Johnson has put up a terrific 23.1 points per game this year, significantly higher than his 18.9 points per game last year.
The Hawks rank as the 5th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games playing at home.
The fastest pace team in the league over the last 20 games has been the Atlanta Hawks.

Favors Under

The matchup vs. the Celtics is a difficult one; they have allowed the 2nd-least points per game in the league to the other team's starting PFs this year (14.5).
The Celtics have played at the least up-tempo tempo in the NBA this year, which should lead to fewer plays for the Atlanta Hawks.
The Hawks check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. Boston is a tough one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting PFs have attempted a mere 3.1 foul shots per game this year when the Boston Celtics are the visiting squad (8th-least in the league).

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