Jalen Johnson Points - Player Prop Bet 12/5/2025

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Jalen Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Johnson

F · Atlanta Hawks

Points

Atlanta Hawks vs Denver Nuggets · Dec 5, 2025

Updated Dec 6, 2025 4:39 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-118/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Johnson has posted 26.8 points per game over the last 5 games, 3.6 higher than he's posted in all games this year.
The Hawks rank as the 6th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 15 games with respect to three-point attempts.
This year when they are at home, opposing starting PFs have shot 44.8% on threes (5th-best in the NBA) against the Nuggets, designating this as a strong matchup.
The 6th-most up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Atlanta Hawks.

Favors Under

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 2nd-most sluggish tempo in the league on the road this year, which ought to decrease plays for the Atlanta Hawks.
The Atlanta Hawks have been the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
This year, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 2.6 free throws per game (fewest in the NBA) vs. the Nuggets, facing an uphill battle to get to the foul line.

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