Jalen Johnson Points - Player Prop Bet 11/7/2025

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Jalen Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Johnson

F · Atlanta Hawks

Points

Atlanta Hawks vs Toronto Raptors · Nov 7, 2025

Updated Nov 8, 2025 3:34 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-115/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Atlanta Hawks rank as the 7th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The matchup against the Toronto Raptors is a good one for shots from behind the three-point arc; opposing starting PFs have tallied the 5th-most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (4.9).
The Hawks have played at the 8th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA this year.
The Hawks are expected to get a boost in plays today from squaring off against the 3rd-quickest pace road offense in the league this year (the Raptors).

Favors Under

The Atlanta Hawks rank as the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 25 games, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 2.7 free throws per game (2nd-fewest in the league) against the Toronto Raptors, facing an uphill battle to get to the free-throw line.

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