Jalen Johnson Points - Player Prop Bet 12/29/2024

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Jalen Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Johnson

F · Atlanta Hawks

Points

Toronto Raptors vs Atlanta Hawks · Dec 29, 2024

Updated Dec 29, 2024 11:09 PM EST

Analysis

Jalen Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Jalen Johnson measures in the 92nd percentile for field goals hit when playing on the road, posting an enormous 8.2 per game this year.
Jalen Johnson has played 36.6 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 98th percentile.
The matchup against the Toronto Raptors is a strong one for 3-point attempts; the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged the 5th-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (4.9).
The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 2nd-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games.
The Hawks are expected to get a boost in plays in this game from sharing the court with the 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Raptors).

Favors Under

The Atlanta Hawks check in as the 2nd-least aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games as the road team with respect to shot attempts from beyond the arc.
Over the last 25 games, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 2.7 foul shots per game (2nd-fewest in the league) vs. the Raptors, making it tough to get to the foul line.
Jalen Johnson will not possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium generally lowers stat production in all stat categories.

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