Jalen Johnson Points - Player Prop Bet 12/26/2024

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Jalen Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Johnson

F · Atlanta Hawks

Points

Atlanta Hawks vs Chicago Bulls · Dec 26, 2024

Updated Dec 27, 2024 2:45 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Jalen Johnson lands in the 89th percentile for field goals sunk while playing at home, registering a massive 7.1 per game this year.
Among all players in the NBA, Jalen Johnson comes in at the 97th percentile for playing time, averaging an enormous 35.6 minutes per game while playing at home this year.
The fastest pace home offense in the league this year has been the Atlanta Hawks.
The Bulls have played at the quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games on the road, which should raise possessions for the Hawks.
The Hawks check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

When it comes to three-pointers, the Hawks's lackluster 34.3% rate of successful threes at home rates 7th-weakest in the league this year.
This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have tallied 11.5 field goal attempts per game (3rd-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Chicago Bulls, making this a challenging matchup.

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