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Jalen Johnson

Jalen Johnson Points
Player Prop - 12/19/2024

San Antonio Spurs vs Atlanta Hawks

Jalen Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jalen Johnson has sunk 7.8 buckets per game this year, ranking him in the 91st percentile among all players in the NBA.

Out of all players in the NBA, Jalen Johnson ranks in the 98th percentile for playing time, totaling an enormous 36.6 minutes per game this year.

The 3rd-most up-tempo tempo team in the league this year has been the Hawks.

The Atlanta Hawks are expected to see a rise in possessions in this contest from competing against the 9th-quickest pace team in the league over the last 5 games (the Spurs).

Offensive rebounds maintain possession and lead to extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Atlanta Hawks grade out best in the NBA while playing away from home with 14.4 offensive boards per game this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Atlanta Hawks check in as the 4th-least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games as the visting team in terms of shot attempts from downtown.

The matchup against San Antonio is a challenging one; when the San Antonio Spurs are at home, they have allowed the 4th-least points per game in the league to the other team's starting PFs over the last 5 games (13.0).

The matchup vs. Jeremy Sochan is a difficult one for drawing fouls; when defending other starting PFs this year, they have attempted a mere 2.2 foul shots per game (7th percentile).

Jalen Johnson is expected to see a decline in output for all stats as a result of playing on the visting team in this contest.

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