Jalen Johnson Points - Player Prop Bet 11/29/2024

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Jalen Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Johnson

F · Atlanta Hawks

Points

Atlanta Hawks vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Nov 29, 2024

Updated Nov 30, 2024 3:30 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Johnson has successfully made 43.7% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 10 games, 9.8% more than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the year.
Jalen Johnson has averaged 36.4 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 96th percentile.
The Hawks have played at the fastest pace in the league over the last 15 games.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and bring about bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Hawks grade out 3rd-best in in the league with 13.9 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.
Jalen Johnson has successfully made 94.1% of his free throws over the last 10 games, 13.4% higher than he's converted in all games this year.

Favors Under

As it relates to 3-point shots, the Atlanta Hawks's lackluster 30.3% rate of made threes at home comes in as the 2nd-worst in the league over the last 5 games.
The matchup against Cleveland is a hard one; when the Cleveland Cavaliers are away from home, they have allowed the 2nd-least points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting PFs this year (13.5).
The Hawks are expected to suffer a drop-off in possessions in this contest from facing the 10th-most sluggish tempo away team in the league over the last 5 games (the Cavaliers).

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