Jalen Johnson Points - Player Prop Bet 11/27/2024

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Jalen Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Johnson

F · Atlanta Hawks

Points

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Atlanta Hawks · Nov 27, 2024

Updated Nov 28, 2024 12:42 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Johnson has sunk 9.2 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year.
Jalen Johnson has successfully made 46.7% of his 3-point attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 10.8% higher than he's converted from three in all games this season without the home court advantage.
Out of all players in the league, Jalen Johnson measures in the 96th percentile for playing time, registering a colossal 36.5 minutes per game while playing away from home this year.
The Atlanta Hawks have played at the most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games.
The Cavaliers have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games with the home court advantage, which should increase opportunities for the Atlanta Hawks.

Favors Under

In regard to shots from behind the three-point arc, the 10th-least aggressive offense in the league this year has been the Hawks.
This year, opposing starting PFs have shot 44.1% on shots from the field (4th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Cavaliers, resulting in a hard matchup.
Jalen Johnson is expected to see a decline in performance for all stats as a result of playing away from home in this game.

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