Jalen Johnson Points - Player Prop Bet 11/20/2024

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Jalen Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Johnson

F · Atlanta Hawks

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Atlanta Hawks · Nov 20, 2024

Updated Nov 21, 2024 2:44 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Johnson has attempted 15.6 shots from the field per game this year, placing him in the 89th percentile among all players in the league.
Jalen Johnson has sunk 40.7% of his 3-point attempts over the last 5 games, 10.2% higher than he's made from downtown over the course of the year.
Among all players in the league, Jalen Johnson slots into the 95th percentile for playing time, averaging an enormous 36.7 minutes per game on the road this year.
The matchup vs. Golden State is a positive one for field goal attempts; when the Golden State Warriors are at home, the opposing team's starting PFs have tallied the 2nd-most shot attempts per game in the league this year (15.8).
The Hawks have played at the 3rd-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games.

Favors Under

In terms of drawing fouls, the Hawks's lackluster 20.1 free throw attempts per game without the home court advantage measures as the 8th-worst in the league this year.
This year when they are the visiting team, opposing starting PFs have attempted 3.1 foul shots per game (9th-fewest in the NBA) against the Golden State Warriors, struggling to draw fouls.
Jalen Johnson will not enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage generally lowers stat production in all facets of the game.

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