Jalen Johnson Points - Player Prop Bet 11/18/2024

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Jalen Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Johnson

F · Atlanta Hawks

Points

Sacramento Kings vs Atlanta Hawks · Nov 18, 2024

Updated Nov 19, 2024 2:54 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-136/+102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ +102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged 52.6% on shot attempts from the field (6th-best in the NBA) against the Sacramento Kings, designating this as a good matchup.
The 3rd-speediest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Atlanta Hawks.
The Atlanta Hawks are expected to get a boost in plays in this contest from sharing the court with the 9th-quickest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 14 games (the Kings).
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and spark further chances for scoring and assists, and the Hawks rank best in the league while playing away from home with 14.8 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Favors Under

The Atlanta Hawks have been the 5th-least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games as it relates to three-point attempts.
Over the last 20 games, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 2.4 free throws per game (lowest in the league) vs. the Sacramento Kings, facing an uphill battle to draw fouls.

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