Jalen Johnson Points - Player Prop Bet 11/12/2024

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Jalen Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Johnson

F · Atlanta Hawks

Points

Boston Celtics vs Atlanta Hawks · Nov 12, 2024

Updated Nov 12, 2024 11:54 PM EST

Analysis

Jalen Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-136/+102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 23.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 20.5 @ +102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Johnson has made 2.0 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 0.6 higher than he's made from downtown in all games this season.
Out of all players in the league, Jalen Johnson rates in the 95th percentile for playing time, averaging a whopping 36.0 minutes per game away from his home court this year.
The Hawks have played at the 3rd-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The Atlanta Hawks rank as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Jalen Johnson has successfully made 86.7% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 14.0% more than he's put through the net over the course of the year.

Favors Under

Jalen Johnson has been called for 2.6 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the highest-fouling players in the league (76th percentile).
In terms of 3-point attempts, the 7th-least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Atlanta Hawks.
The matchup against the Boston Celtics is a hard one; they have given up the 2nd-least points per game in the league to the opposition's starting PFs this year (14.5).
The Hawks are expected to suffer a reduction in plays in this contest from sharing the court with the 3rd-most sluggish pace home offense in the league this year (the Boston Celtics).
Jalen Johnson will likely suffer a drop-off in output for all stats due to being on the road in this contest.

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