Jalen Johnson Points - Player Prop Bet 11/3/2024

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Jalen Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Johnson

F · Atlanta Hawks

Points

New Orleans Pelicans vs Atlanta Hawks · Nov 3, 2024

Updated Nov 3, 2024 11:59 PM EST

Analysis

Jalen Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, Jalen Johnson registers in the 84th percentile for shots drained, totaling an enormous 6.4 per game since the start of last season.
Among all players in the NBA, Jalen Johnson measures in the 88th percentile for playing time, putting up a colossal 33.1 minutes per game away from home since the start of last season.
The 3rd-most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Hawks.
The Atlanta Hawks are expected to see an increase in possessions today from competing against the 2nd-fastest pace-of-play home team in the NBA this year (the New Orleans Pelicans).
Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in more chances for scoring and assists, and the Hawks rank best in the NBA while on the road with 12.3 offensive boards per game since the start of last season.

Favors Under

When it comes to scoring, the Atlanta Hawks's lackluster 45.1% field goal rate without the home court advantage ranks 4th-worst in the league since the start of last season.
The matchup against New Orleans is a hard one for three-point attempts; when the Pelicans are on their home court, the opposing team's starting PFs have totaled the 5th-least three attempts per game in the NBA this year (3.4).
Among all players in the NBA, Jalen Johnson ranks in the 90th percentile for unsuccessful foul shot attempts, totaling a colossal 0.9 per game since the start of last season.
Jalen Johnson is expected to see a decline in effectiveness across the board in light of playing away from home in this matchup.

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