Jalen Johnson Points - Player Prop Bet 10/23/2024

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Jalen Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Johnson

F · Atlanta Hawks

Points

Atlanta Hawks vs Brooklyn Nets · Oct 23, 2024

Updated Oct 24, 2024 1:19 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-145/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, Jalen Johnson lands in the 84th percentile for field goals drained, totaling a colossal 6.4 per game since the start of last season.
Jalen Johnson has been on the court for 33.7 minutes per game since the start of last season, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 89th percentile.
The 5th-quickest tempo offense in the NBA since the start of last season has been the Hawks.
The Atlanta Hawks have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Jalen Johnson ought to see a rise in effectiveness in all stat categories as a result of owning the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Jalen Johnson places in the 83rd percentile for personal fouls, averaging a monstrous 2.4 fouls per game since the start of last season.
The matchup vs. Brooklyn is a hard one; when the Brooklyn Nets are the visiting squad, they have allowed the least points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting PFs this year (11.4).
The Hawks will likely see a decline in plays in this game from being pitted against the 10th-most lethargic pace team in the league since the start of last season (the Brooklyn Nets).
The matchup vs. Brooklyn is a difficult one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting PFs have attempted a lowly 1.9 foul shots per game this year when the Brooklyn Nets are on the road (least in the NBA).

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