Jalen Johnson Points - Player Prop Bet 4/6/2024

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Jalen Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Johnson

F · Atlanta Hawks

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Atlanta Hawks · Apr 6, 2024

Updated Apr 7, 2024 1:09 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (+100/-122).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Johnson has attempted 16.2 shots per game over the last 5 games when playing away from home, 2.9 higher than he's attempted overall this season on the road.
Jalen Johnson has sunk 2.2 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.8 higher than he's made over the course of the season when playing away from home.
The Hawks have played at the 7th-quickest tempo in the league this year.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and produce more chances for scoring and assists, and the Hawks rank best in the league away from their home court with 12.6 offensive boards per game this year.
Jalen Johnson has attempted 3.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games when playing away from home, 1.3 more than he's attempted over the course of the season on the road.

Favors Under

Jalen Johnson has accumulated 2.4 personal fouls per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 1.6 fouls per game last year.
In terms of shooting, the Atlanta Hawks's unimpressive 45.3% field goal rate while playing on the road comes in as the 5th-worst in the league this year.
The matchup against the Denver Nuggets is a challenging one for three-point attempts; the opposition's starting PFs have averaged the 4th-least 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (3.7).
The Hawks will likely suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this contest from facing the 4th-most sluggish tempo offense in the NBA this year (the Denver Nuggets).
This year, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 2.6 free throws per game (fewest in the NBA) against the Nuggets, struggling to draw fouls.

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