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Jalen Johnson

Jalen Johnson Points
Player Prop - 3/18/2024

Los Angeles Lakers vs Atlanta Hawks

 
 
 
Jalen Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-150/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ +110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Jalen Johnson has attempted 15.8 shots per game over the last 10 games away from home, 2.7 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year on the road.
  • Jalen Johnson has made 53.3% of his 3-point shots over the last 5 games, 16.5% higher than he's sunk overall this year.
  • Jalen Johnson has been on the court for 33.3 minutes per game while playing on the road this year, putting him in the 90th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.
  • The matchup vs. the Los Angeles Lakers is a good one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; the other team's starting PFs have averaged the most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (5.6).
  • The Lakers have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace in the league this year, which should raise plays for the Atlanta Hawks.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Relative to last year's 1.6 clip, Jalen Johnson's personal fouls per game have surged this year to 2.5.
  • When it comes to scoring, the Atlanta Hawks's lackluster 44.2% field goal rate places 4th-lowest in the league over the last 5 games.
  • The 5th-least up-tempo tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Hawks.
  • The matchup vs. the Los Angeles Lakers may be a hard one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted a mere 2.2 foul shots per game over the last 15 games (least in the league).
  • Jalen Johnson will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city generally lowers player performance across the board.

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