Jalen Johnson Points - Player Prop Bet 2/7/2024

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Jalen Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Johnson

F · Atlanta Hawks

Points

Boston Celtics vs Atlanta Hawks · Feb 7, 2024

Updated Feb 8, 2024 3:52 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (+115/-150).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ +115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Johnson has attempted 15.8 shots per game over the last 5 games, 4.0 higher than he's attempted overall this season.
Jalen Johnson has averaged 31.6 minutes per game on the road this year, placing him in the 84th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.
The fastest tempo team in the league over the last 20 games has been the Hawks.
The Atlanta Hawks have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Jalen Johnson has converted 86.7% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 9.6% more than he's made over the course of the season.

Favors Under

Jalen Johnson has been called for 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 more than he's been called for over the course of the season.
This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have registered 14.5 points per game (14th-fewest in the NBA) against the Celtics, creating a challenging matchup for offensive effectiveness.
The Boston Celtics have given up the most offensive boards per game (14.8) in the league to their opposition over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).
Jalen Johnson will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium generally reduces player production in all facets of the game.

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