Jalen Johnson Points - Player Prop Bet 2/2/2024

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Jalen Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Johnson

F · Atlanta Hawks

Points

Atlanta Hawks vs Phoenix Suns · Feb 2, 2024

Updated Feb 3, 2024 12:47 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Johnson has attempted 15.4 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 4.0 more than he's attempted in all games this season.
Jalen Johnson has successfully made 47.0% of his attempts from downtown over the last 10 games at home, 8.7% more than he's made from beyond the arc overall this year when playing at home.
Jalen Johnson has averaged 37.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.6 higher than he's averaged in all games this season.
The Atlanta Hawks have played at the quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games at home.
The Phoenix Suns have played at the 8th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to more opportunities for the Hawks.

Favors Under

Jalen Johnson has accumulated 4.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 1.1 more than he's accumulated over the course of the season at home.
With respect to shots from behind the three-point arc, the Hawks's subpar 33.6% rate of successful threes measures as the 2nd-worst in the NBA over the last 15 games.
This year when they are on their home court, the other team's starting PFs have totaled 0.9 3-pointers per game (15th-lowest in the NBA) against the Phoenix Suns, designating this as a hard matchup.
This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing clubs have captured 12.0 offensive boards per game (3rd-most in the NBA) vs. the Suns (preserving possessions that can spark further chances for offense).

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