Jalen Johnson Points - Player Prop Bet 1/24/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Jalen Johnson

F · Atlanta Hawks

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Atlanta Hawks · Jan 24, 2024

Updated Jan 25, 2024 2:33 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (+126/-174).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -123 before it was bet down to 17.5 @ -174.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Johnson has registered an impressive 14.9 points per game this year, quite a bit more than his 5.6 points per game last year.
Jalen Johnson has converted an impressive 1.1 3-pointers per game this season, a sizeable increase from his 0.4 mark last season.
Jalen Johnson has tallied 31.3 minutes per game when playing on the road this year, placing him in the 84th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.
The matchup vs. Golden State is a strong one for shots from the field; when the Golden State Warriors are on their home court, the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged the 29th-most field goal attempts per game in the NBA this year (15.8).
The Hawks have played at the 4th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games away from home.

Favors Under

Jalen Johnson has tallied 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the highest-fouling players in the NBA when it comes to technicals (83rd percentile).
The Hawks check in as the 2nd-least efficient shooting team in the league over the last 10 games.
Over the last 15 games when they are on the road, opposing teams have nabbed 12.0 offensive boards per game (5th-highest in the NBA) against the Golden State Warriors (preserving possessions that can lead to more opportunities for offense).
This year when they are the visiting team, opposing starting PFs have attempted 3.1 foul shots per game (7th-fewest in the league) vs. the Warriors, finding it difficult to get to the foul line.
Jalen Johnson will likely see a decline in productivity in all facets of the game considering playing away from home in this contest.